Asteroid 2011 AG5 not colliding with Earth in February 2040

As “Mayan Apocalypse” passed without leaving effects, scientists come now with another good news: asteroid 2011 AG5, which so far has been considered a threat to Earth, will not crash into our planet in 2040, as initially predicted.

Asteroid 2011 AG5 has no chance of hitting Earth in 2040. Photo:dailymail.co.uk

When the 140-meter diameter space rock was discovered, space explorers attributed a 0.2% chance for Earth to collide with AG5 in 2040. Now, astronomers at the University of Hawaii were able to calculate more precisely asteroid’s orbital path, discovering that 2011 AG5 will pass 890,000 kilometers away from Earth, which is twice as much the distance between Earth and Moon .

Astronomers David Tholen, Richard Wainscoat and Marco Micheli of the Astronomical Institute at the University of Hawaii used Mauna Kea’s Gemini North telescope to collect new data needed to calculate asteroid’s trajectory. The telescope detected the weak light reflected by the space rock during the evenings of 20, 21 and 27 October 2012.
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The new data was delivered to NASA scientists working on the Near-Earth Object program. Researchers have confirmed that the “risk of a collision in 2040 has been removed”.

Although the new path does not significantly differ from the initial one, new calculations reduce the orbital uncertainty by a factor of 60. Therefore, “asteroid hunters” can say with certainty that 2011 AG5 will not hit Earth in February 2040.

Flight path of 2011 AG5 asteroid. The blue dot is Earth, the white circle is Moon’s orbit, and the green line is 2011 AG5’s flight trajectory